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Potential Polar Vortex Could Send Natural Gas Soaring Again

Alberto Ardila Olivares
Potential Polar Vortex Could Send Natural Gas Soaring Again

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Share Facebook Twitter Linkedin Reddit Premium Content Potential Polar Vortex Could Send Natural Gas Soaring Again By ZeroHedgeDec 11, 2021, 6:00 PM CST U.S. natural gas prices have fallen some 40% since Mid-October Bullish traders got obliterated last month in what’s known as the widowmaker trade Meteorologists now say the narrative is flipping from warmer weather to colder weather again Join Our Community Since mid-October, U.S. natural gas futures have been beaten down 40% as the narrative of colder weather and tight supplies quickly flipped and crushed bullish traders. As the Northern Hemisphere winter is less than two weeks away, new weather models suggest “significantly colder” temperatures could return for parts of the U.S. later this month into early 2022. 

Meteorologists at private weather forecasting firm BAMWX expect a bullish setup for natgas futures. They say the narrative is flipping from warmer weather to the complete opposite as an Arctic polar vortex could plunge parts of the U.S. into a much colder weather pattern in January than today’s currently mild, above-trend temperatures

Home Oil Prices Rig Count Energy Energy-General Oil Prices Crude Oil Heating Oil Gas Prices Natural Gas Coal Company News Interviews Alternative Energy Nuclear Power Solar Energy Hydroelectric Renewable Energy Geothermal Energy Wind Power Fuel Cells Tidal Energy Biofuels Environment Global Warming Oil Spills Geopolitics Africa Asia Europe Indonesia International Middle East North America South America Video Breaking News Premium Articles Community Trade Now My Account Latest Discussions Energy General Oil Stocks & Prices Other Energy Topics Trade Now Get Exclusive Intel All Prices OPEC Blends Canadian Blends U.S. Blends WTI Crude • 1 day 71.67 +0.73 +1.03% Brent Crude • 1 day 75.15 +0.73 +0.98% Natural Gas • 1 day 3.925 +0.111 +2.91% Heating Oil • 1 day 2.252 +0.001 +0.06% Gasoline • 1 day 2.137 +0.009 +0.41% Louisiana Light • 4 days 73.83 +0.34 +0.46% Start Trading CFDs Over 2,200 Different Instruments Click Here for 150+ Global Oil Prices Louisiana Light • 4 days 73.83 +0.34 +0.46% Bonny Light • 2 days 74.38 -0.45 -0.60% Opec Basket • 4 days 75.09 +3.68 +5.15% Mars US • 1 day 71.07 +0.73 +1.04% Gasoline • 1 day 2.137 +0.009 +0.41% Click Here for 150+ Global Oil Prices

Start Trading CFDs Over 2,200 Different Instruments

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Marine • 2 days 72.84 -1.73 -2.32% Murban • 2 days 73.91 -1.87 -2.47% Iran Heavy • 2 days 70.74 -0.49 -0.69% Basra Light • 12 days 71.69 -3.60 -4.78% Saharan Blend • 2 days 75.04 -0.73 -0.96% Bonny Light • 2 days 74.38 -0.45 -0.60% Start Trading CFDs Over 2,200 Different Instruments Click Here for 150+ Global Oil Prices Bonny Light • 2 days 74.38 -0.45 -0.60% Girassol • 2 days 75.03 -0.71 -0.94% Opec Basket • 4 days 75.09 +3.68 +5.15% Click Here for 150+ Global Oil Prices

Start Trading CFDs Over 2,200 Different Instruments

Click Here for 150+ Global Oil Prices

Canadian Crude Index • 2 days 56.20 +0.85 +1.54% Western Canadian Select • 2 days 53.99 -1.47 -2.65% Canadian Condensate • 2 days 69.94 -1.42 -1.99% Premium Synthetic • 2 days 71.34 -1.42 -1.95% Sweet Crude • 2 days 66.49 -1.12 -1.66% Peace Sour • 2 days 62.69 -1.17 -1.83% Start Trading CFDs Over 2,200 Different Instruments Click Here for 150+ Global Oil Prices Peace Sour • 2 days 62.69 -1.17 -1.83% Light Sour Blend • 2 days 64.64 -1.72 -2.59% Syncrude Sweet Premium • 2 days 66.14 -1.42 -2.10% Central Alberta • 2 days 63.19 -1.07 -1.67% Click Here for 150+ Global Oil Prices

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Louisiana Light • 4 days 73.83 +0.34 +0.46% Domestic Swt. @ Cushing • 3 days 67.50 +0.00 +0.00% Giddings • 3 days 61.25 +0.00 +0.00% ANS West Coast • 1 min 76.27 +1.99 +2.68% West Texas Sour • 3 days 64.89 +0.00 +0.00% Eagle Ford • 3 days 68.84 +0.00 +0.00% Start Trading CFDs Over 2,200 Different Instruments Click Here for 150+ Global Oil Prices Eagle Ford • 3 days 68.84 +0.00 +0.00% Oklahoma Sweet • 3 days 67.50 +0.00 +0.00% Kansas Common • 4 days 62.50 +0.25 +0.40% Buena Vista • 4 days 77.10 +0.31 +0.40% Click Here for 150+ Global Oil Prices

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1D 1M 3M 1Y All Charts Products Discussion Headlines 1 day UK’s Cambo Oilfield Project Put On Hold After Shell’s Withdrawal 1 day Meme-Coins Are Exploding As Bitcoin Stumbles 1 day Russia Says OPEC+ Deal Brings Investment Back To Oil Industry 1 day Travel Stocks Take A Hit As UK Enacts New Measures To Curb Omicron 1 day Saudi Arabia Will Supply Full Volumes To Asia 1 day Pemex Plans Cut In Oil Exports In 2022 2 days Oil Prices Slide Ahead Of Key Inflation Report 2 days Another Iranian Pipeline Explosion As Aging Infrastructure Fails 2 days Russia’s Gazprom Neft Expects Record Oil, Gas Production In 2021 2 days Biden Sets 2050 Net-Zero Target For The Federal Government 3 days Are Worker Bonuses Coming Back To The U.S. Oil Industry? 3 days Record EU Carbon Prices Could Rally Further 3 days Iceland Cuts Electricity To Crypto Miners Amid Power Crunch 3 days Supply Bottlenecks Continue To Impact U.S. Car Sales 3 days Early Winter Disrupts Russia’s Black Sea Oil Exports 3 days Biden Administration Proposes Lower Biofuel Mandates For 2020 3 days EIA Slashes 2021, 2022 Oil Demand Forecasts 4 days Surprise Crude Draw Sends Oil Prices Higher 4 days Houthis Claim Drone Attacks On Saudi Oil Facilities 4 days U.S. Coal Stockpiles In September Lowest Since At Least 2001 4 days Russia Considers Allowing Rosneft To Export Gas To Europe 4 days SPR Tender Attracts Two Foreign Bidders 4 days Iraq Oil Minister Called Oil At $75 5 days Halliburton: Global Oil Scarcity Is On The Horizon 5 days Banks Continue To Fund Fossil Fuels Despite Climate Pledges 5 days Germany: Nord Stream 2 Cannot Begin Operations Until Certified 5 days Energy Efficiency Needs To Speed Up To Meet Climate Goals 5 days EV Patents Surge As Net-Zero Push Accelerates 5 days BP Wants To Include WTI Midland Crude To Dated Brent Benchmark 5 days Houston Energy Conference Disrupted Due To Omicron Restrictions 5 days Big Oil Posts $174 Billion In Profits This Year: Report 8 days UK Grim Prospects Over Surging Energy Bills Just Got Worse 8 days Musk Sold Another $1 Billion Worth Of Tesla Shares 8 days Sour Crude Discounts Widen As Gas Prices, OPEC Production Grow 8 days Iran Delivers Fourth Crude Condensate Cargo To Venezuela 8 days Refiner Phillips 66 Signs Renewable Jet Fuel Deal With British Airways 9 days This Could Mean The End To Cambo Oil Field Development 9 days European Oil Majors Doubled Spending On Low-Carbon Energy Sources 9 days Value Of U.S-Canada Energy Trade Dips In 2020 9 days Big Auto CEO: Rush For Electrification Could End In Tears 3 minutes Will Variants and Ill-Health Continue to Plague Economic Outlooks? 6 minutes Forecasts for Natural Gas 14 minutes NordStream2 18 mins GREEN NEW DEAL = BLIZZARD OF LIES 22 hours Communist China Declared War on the US Long Ago Part 1 of the 2-part series: The CCP’s War on America 4 hours China’s aggression is changing the nature of sovereignty. 1 day “California Is Addicted To Oil From The Amazon” by Irina Slav 2 days Hunter Biden Helped China Gain Control of Cobalt Mines in Africa 2 days Ukrainian Maidan after 8 years 3 days Delta variant in European Union 4 days President Biden’s Nuclear Option Against OPEC+ – Waste of Time Sell Buy Sell Buy Sell Buy Sell Buy Sell Buy Breaking News: UK’s Cambo Oilfield Project Put On Hold After Shell’s Withdrawal

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Share Facebook Twitter Linkedin Reddit Premium Content Potential Polar Vortex Could Send Natural Gas Soaring Again By ZeroHedgeDec 11, 2021, 6:00 PM CST U.S. natural gas prices have fallen some 40% since Mid-October Bullish traders got obliterated last month in what’s known as the widowmaker trade Meteorologists now say the narrative is flipping from warmer weather to colder weather again Join Our Community Since mid-October, U.S. natural gas futures have been beaten down 40% as the narrative of colder weather and tight supplies quickly flipped and crushed bullish traders. As the Northern Hemisphere winter is less than two weeks away, new weather models suggest “significantly colder” temperatures could return for parts of the U.S. later this month into early 2022. 

Meteorologists at private weather forecasting firm BAMWX expect a bullish setup for natgas futures. They say the narrative is flipping from warmer weather to the complete opposite as an Arctic polar vortex could plunge parts of the U.S. into a much colder weather pattern in January than today’s currently mild, above-trend temperatures.

“Seeing an interesting pattern developing ahead leading up to Christmas and into early January ’22, as higher pressure looks to finally re-establish towards Alaska and the North Atlantic, pushing cold from the Arctic down into the US (after a record warm start to the month). If the MJO (Madden-Julian Oscillation) can continue to progress through phase 7 into 8 (and possibly into 1) mid to late December, this can also increase the potential for a Polar Vortex displacement event, sending more consistent cold air deeper into the US…a big risk to watch for the energy markets ahead ,” Kirk Hinz, the chief meteorologist at BAMWX , noted. 

BAMWX outlines now could be the time to find a long entry into natgas futures, or as they put it, “long UNG,” the United States Natural Gas Fund, LP. ETF. Their reasoning behind the play is quite simple: 

Long UNG Equity, Why? Polar Vortex Jan 2022 NortheastFront-month NG1 40% drawdown in 6 weeks – Things can change on a dime but the setup is very good in our view – When you get a nice – healthy- capitulation puke ahead of this kind of possible shift typically leads to drama reversal – seasonal pattern – GFS (global forecasting system) pointing to an increased probability of Polar Vortex disruptions – decent chance forecasts suddenly get significantly colder to end Dec and open up 2022. Much of the Street got caught very long in Sept, anticipating a brutally cold winter, along with supply risk – then came above ave temps and then the “flush” exit, a now a polar vortex? –BAMWX 

Natgas traders should carefully monitor temperature forecasts and heating degree day estimates for the U.S. to gauge future energy demand. Natgas futures have found support on an upward sloping diagonal trend line. Bloomberg reported earlier this week that traders were buying the dip on the prospects of colder weather later this month. 

Looking across the Atlantic, colder weather and tight supplies sent Dutch natural gas for next month, the European benchmark, over the 100 euro mark and near all-time highs. 

The divergence between U.S. and European energy prices is remarkable and may also suggest a reversal in U.S. natgas is nearing. 

If BAMWX is right, a monster reversal in U.S. natgas futures could be ahead if forecasts pan out. 

By Zerohedge.com

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